Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.949723e-05 2.364241e-05 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000053
2025-06-29 1.326494e-05 1.823696e-05 0.000024 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000063
2025-07-06 9.166590e-06 1.422996e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000054 0.000070
2025-07-13 6.816205e-06 1.185864e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000058 0.000079
2025-07-20 5.279164e-06 1.024476e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000062 0.000088
2025-07-27 4.252024e-06 9.153204e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000067 0.000098
2025-08-03 3.869204e-06 9.013446e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000050 0.000076 0.000112
2025-08-10 3.064147e-06 7.958074e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000080 0.000121
2025-08-17 2.154008e-06 6.460078e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000050 0.000080 0.000124
2025-08-24 1.544913e-06 5.376347e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000049 0.000082 0.000129
2025-08-31 1.192131e-06 4.748141e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000050 0.000085 0.000136
2025-09-07 8.743557e-07 4.082205e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000051 0.000087 0.000142
2025-09-14 5.487533e-07 3.286257e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000051 0.000090 0.000150
2025-09-21 3.021126e-07 2.519393e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000050 0.000091 0.000156
2025-09-28 1.425148e-07 1.853930e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000048 0.000091 0.000160
2025-10-05 7.165396e-08 1.475517e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000049 0.000095 0.000169
2025-10-12 3.579951e-08 1.220805e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000050 0.000099 0.000179
2025-10-19 1.811355e-08 1.054132e-06 0.000006 0.000021 0.000052 0.000104 0.000191
2025-10-26 1.456293e-08 1.073729e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000115 0.000211
2025-11-02 5.120282e-09 8.863459e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000058 0.000119 0.000222
2025-11-09 3.814779e-10 6.159248e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000056 0.000118 0.000225
2025-11-16 2.736080e-14 4.400769e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000119 0.000230
2025-11-23 NaN 3.490774e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000056 0.000123 0.000240